QB: Marcus Mariota vs. Cleveland DraftKings salary: 5,600
RB: Saquon Barkley vs. Chicago DraftKings salary: 8,000
RB: Aaron Jones vs. New England DraftKings salary: 7,500
WR: Drake London vs. Cleveland DraftKings salary: 6,100
WR: Amari Cooper at Atlanta DraftKings salary: 6,300
WR: Diontae Johnson vs. New York (Jets) DraftKings salary: 6,000
TE: Cole Kmet at New York (Giants) DraftKings salary: 3,200
Flex: Rashaad Penny at Detroit DraftKings salary: 4,900
DST: Seahawks Def at Detroit DraftKings salary: 2,400
Reasoning: This is a hard week for primary stacks. The obvious options are popular and expensive, not the combo we look for in DFS. I settled in on a Mariota led primary stack. I like the rushing upside and with Myles Garrett rules out and Jadaveon Clowney potentially to follow, this underachieving Browns defense feels like one to pick on. I usually double stack but opted not to here, with Mariota becoming more popular I think Kyle Pitts will be frequently stacked with him. I’m not certain the Falcons have figured this Kyle Pitts conundrum out so I’m going with just Drake London with the Amari Cooper run back. Mariota’s rushing upside gives me more ease at going with just the single stack.
Went with the double pay up-ish approach at RB in an attempt to zig off the Jamaal Williams/Khalil Herbert builds. Barkley will be popular I’m sure but Aaron Jones is flying way under the radar but his profile this week is as strong as any RB as a big favorite with pass game and red zone involvement.
Went with Diontae Johnson as a one off versus a Jets defense that has given up big plays to WRs every week and a pass rush that has underachieved. Johnson’s volume has remained strong sans Roethlisberger while his targets 15+ yards downfield are up.
For those of you who put your phone or laptop in a washing machine after seeing my TE play, I get it. The Bears simply haven’t thrown enough to play any pass catcher with confidence but with no Ryan Griffin the snaps and routes have been climbing for Kmet. Correlating him with what i’m hoping is a Saquon blow up game and I’ll take my chances that the Bears finally generate a respectable enough pass catcher performance at super low rostership. It‘s also leverage on Herbert.
Closing the lineup out with a double pivot on Jamaal Williams and the Lions passing game. Rashaad Penny has a good price and matchup and should get ample opportunities if this game stays close. Injuries will help those odds as the Lions will be without D’andre Swift and Amon-Ra St. Brown. We really betting on Jared Goff holding up that 26 point team total without those 2? Also, shout out to TJ Hernandez for the contrarian idea of going 3 RBs this week.
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