QB: Justin Fields vs. Detroit DraftKings salary: 6,500
RB: Travis Etienne at Kansas City DraftKings salary: 7,100
RB: Dameon Pierce at New York (Giants) DraftKings salary: 6,300
WR: CeeDee Lamb at Green Bay DraftKings salary: 7,000
WR: Amon Ra St. Brown at Chicago DraftKings salary: 6,900
WR: Chase Claypool vs. Detroit DraftKings salary: 4,800
TE: Harrison Bryant at Miami DraftKings salary: 2,700
FLEX: Jeff Wilson vs. Cleveland DraftKings salary: 5,500
DST: Colts Def at Las Vegas DraftKings salary: 2,500
Reasoning: You know how badly I like to at least moderately zig with my primary stack but this is a week where they just seem so pronounced that I’d be doing you all a disservice by trying to force it (I’ll save the Matt Stafford and Kenny Pickett double stacks for my personal time). Playing Justin Fields is the easy part, trying to figure out who to stack him with is not. Because of the draft capital given up and just how motivated the Bears were to get Chase Claypool involved in his first game I opted to roll with him but I couldn’t bring myself to add another Bears pass catcher. Initially I had Cole Kmet and went away from because 1. His 2 TD game could make him semi popular 2. His route run rate (66% percent last week) is fine but I just feel like if I’m going to make a gross play that also isn’t going to be contrarian, than it needs to be closer to 80%. I’ll probably cave and do it by the time Sunday rolls around, but not here. Brock Wright would be another cheap TE option you could run here. Amon Ra St. Brown is an easy bet for volume that rivals any WR that’ll suit up this week, just need the TDs and splash plays to start rolling in.
The secondary stack of Jeff Wilson/Harrison Bryant is a cheaper way to get into one of the other premier games on the slate and leverage popular pieces in it. Wilson carries risk but I’m leaning in on the possibility that his substantial opening game usage is a sign of a more decisive split in the future as opposed to a 50/50 timeshare. Last week he had 4 touches inside the 10 yard line as pointed out by Ben Gretch and ran 43% of the routes. A multiple TD game that side swipes Tua, Tyreek and Waddle is squarely in play. Harrison Bryant routes run numbers weren’t great last week but whether it’s by Tua and the Dolphins passing game (preferably not) or Wilson, he’s going to be pushed to run more and he’s really cheap.
TJ Hernandez inspired me to go RB in the flex a few weeks ago and like all of our attention spans these days I totally forgot it a week later…subconsciously riding my normal approach of WR in the flex over everything. So in an attempt to find ways to get different in a lineup with a popular Justin Fields, I added Travis Etienne and Dameon Pierce to this lineup. Both have been revelations in recent weeks, have put chunk plays on film and are probably a little underpriced considering their roles. They’ll both be popular and will show up together in a lot of lineups, but I doubt they’ll show up with Jeff Wilson, unless of course you’re rocking with ya boy.
There always seems to be a WR that gets kinda lost in the shuffle but when he starts going off on Sunday you think..”Of course, it was all there, why wasn’t I on him?”
This week I think that guy is CeeDee Lamb. The Packers exploitable run defense is concerning but CeeDee Lamb’s usage is top tier. There’s also the chance that we get a more limited Zeke or no Zeke at all as he’s currently a game time decision. Funneling a couple more targets to a talented and efficient player at lower rostership sounds like a good time to me.
At defense I’m rolling with the fighting Irsay’s. If you didn’t peep that Jeff Saturday introductory presser, do yourself a favor and YouTube it asap. Back to the play though…Like every other DFS player, I’m always looking for an angle to play a cheap defense. Many will roll with the Vikings at 2,200 if Josh Allen is out but I like the Colts here. Their offense is no question broken but nobody will confuse the Raiders offense with one that has it all together either…and they just placed Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow on IR. Maybe Jeff Saturday gives this team a 1 week boost of adrenaline, their more than respectable run D keeps Josh Jacobs in check and Davante Adams only goes 25-50% nuclear. I think that’s a reasonable ask.
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