QB: Dak Prescott at Jacksonville DraftKings salary: 6,200
RB: Josh Jacobs vs. New England DraftKings salary: 8,100
RB: Travis Etienne vs. Dallas DraftKings salary: 6,000
WR: CeeDee Lamb at Jacksonville DraftKings salary: 7,300
WR: Christian Kirk vs. Dallas DraftKings salary: 6,600
WR: Michael Gallup at Jacksonville DraftKings salary: 4,500
TE: Jordan Akins vs. Kansas City DraftKings salary: 2,700
FLEX: Isiah Pacheco at Houston DraftKings salary: 5,900
DST: Falcons Def at New Orleans DraftKings salary: 2,500
Reasoning: I knew very early in the week that Dallas stacks were going to factor heavily in what I was doing. Losing Mike White in that Jets/Lions game only intensified that (I know, I know). Prescott isn’t getting great volume but for an offense as efficient as Dallas’ is, he has to have some gaudy numbers games in him in the right circumstances…well, I think we’ve found those circumstances.
The Jaguars pass defense is among the worst in the league in most metrics, they play at a top 10 neutral pace and have a burgeoning young QB and offense that can push back and keep the Cowboys foot on the pedal. Dalton Schultz is the obvious double stack partner here but he’s going to be popular so I found a way to differentiate with Gallup. What I like about this pivot outside of rostership is for it to hit it likely represents a different offensive route for Dallas – Deep shots and 50/50 balls to Gallup over boring red zone strikes to Schultz give us a better crack at that 300 yard bonus. The double run back gives me more differentiation for good measure. Christian Kirk has a good slot matchup and while Etienne has been quiet in recent weeks his workload as a runner hasn’t. His 24 routes run last week were his highest total since week 5, now he wasn’t targeted last week and I’m not suddenly expecting many here either but the Cowboys strong pass rush could potentially push a few check downs his way.
Josh McDaniels comments on Josh Jacobs’ this week were as clarifying as you can get. Expect him to play and continue his voluminous ways which I’m leaning into despite the tough-ish matchup. The Patriots have been a shaky offense and could be without their 2 best skill guys in Rhamondre Stevenson and Jakobi Meyers, lessening the already slimmer chances they could truly play keep away on offense.
My secondary stack came together so smoothly. The Chiefs are a big favorite in a beautiful RB matchup versus the Texans. Giving Pacheco double digits carries should likely bare fruit at his price even if he isn’t very involved in the pass game. Plugging in Pacheco gave me the chance to follow my true passion – finding an excuse to play Jordan Akins. He’ll be in a likely negative game script, has been one of the more efficient TE’s when he gets opportunities, racking up strong YAC numbers. With the Texans still missing Brandin Cooks and Nico Collins, he should see a boost in opportunity, behind Jerry Rice..I mean Chris Moore, of course.
My DST play follows the same playbook as last week, attacking a division matchup in an attempt to gain leverage. Alvin Kamara looks like a great play this week and I’ll be playing him like everyone else but nobody should be confusing the Saints (21st ranked scoring offense) with some offensive juggernaut that will come in an steamroll the Falcons. When these teams faced off in week 1, Kamara had 46 total yards on 12 touches. Then there’s the New Orleans perennially shut down rush defense being down a tick (10th in EPA per rush, 4.5 yards per carry). Whose to say the Falcons are aren’t able to play keep away with their run heavy approach? A cheap, contrarian defense versus a middling offense…here for it.
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