QB: Joe Burrow at New England DraftKings salary: 7,000
RB: Alvin Kamara at Cleveland DraftKings salary: 6,800
RB: Jamaal Williams at Carolina DraftKings salary: 5,200
WR: Ja’Marr Chase at New England DraftKings salary: 8,300
WR: DK Metcalf at Kansas City DraftKings salary: 7,100
WR: Jakobi Meyers vs. Cincinnati DraftKings salary: 4,800
TE: Mitchell Wilcox at New England DraftKings salary: 2,800
FLEX: DJ Moore vs. Detroit DraftKings salary: 5,500
DST: Texans Def at Tennessee DraftKings salary: 2,500
Reasoning: One of the things I do in preparation for a slate is write down a list of players who didn’t meet expectations the week before that I think could fall under the radar for that reason. I just looked back at that list and all 3 players made this lineup *alignment*. Two of them are in my primary stack (Chase and Meyers). Ja’Marr Chase sorta kinda got there with a TD but the explosive plays we’re accustomed to seeing didn’t…it wasn’t for lack of trying though. He had a healthy 13 targets, 4 of which were in the redzone and 113 air yards. The matchup isn’t a great one but it’s also not a worrisome one either and honestly, with the kind of opportunity that Chase has, the way they hunt touches for him combined with his talent,,,you should be aggressively playing him regardless.
Hayden Hurst is expected to return and with his absence only being a couple games i’d expect him to be a near full time player. If he’s ruled out you could swap down to Mitchell Wilcox and upgrade elsewhere. Jakobi Meyers PS5 controller might have froze on him at the end of that Patriots/Raiders game last week but if people let that influence them not to play the only reliable piece of this Patriots pass offense at a mere 4800, I want to take advantage of that.
The 3rd member of my redemption list is Alvin Kamara. Now this one has some clear pros and cons. He ran one fewer route than David Johnson last week, the game has a 32 point total, he’s only scored a TD in one game this season, TAYSOM HILL…one the other hand, this Browns run defense is awful, he handled 23 of the 27 RB touches last week and he’s at a really good price point. Kamara is gonna have to do this in a different way than we’re accustomed in all likelihood. I wouldn’t hold my breath waiting for a 5 catch game but I think the 100 yard bonus is squarely in play versus this run defense and conditions (27 mph winds). I expect his rostership to be minuscule compared to last week.
My RB2 play also carries some risk but has some upside. The Panthers want to establish the run and hide their QB on offense and while that would have set them up for success in this matchup earlier in the season, #OurLions have shored their run defense up in dramatic fashion. The Lions have held opponents under 100 yards rushing in 4 of their last 5 games. Setting them up to control this game and thus run the football versus this average at best Panthers run defense. The Lions backfield is messy no doubt but the messiness never really prevents Jamaal Williams from getting double digit carries and most if not all the goal line carries. I doubled down on that by stacking him with the Lions defense, may the sacks and short fields be plentiful. Here’s to multiple pelvic thrusts in the end zone *Cheers*
DK Metcalf is the duh play of the week. No Tyler Lockett in all likelihood will raise his already very strong target share to eilte levels, we expect a negative game script and the Chiefs have given up the most TDs to WRs in the NFL. Isaiah Hodgins projects as one of the better values on the week as a full time boundary player in a beautiful matchup versus this Vikings vulnerable zone defense.
Update: Due to the Hayden Hurts rule I’ve made the following changes to the lineup.
In: Mitchell Wilcox, DJ Moore, Texans Def
Out: Hayden Hurst, Isaiah Hodgins, Lions Def
Wilcox keeps the Bengals double stack in place, he ran 73% of routes last week and should be good for a handful of targets at a near minimum price point. Need one of those targets to land In pay dirt.
Decided to pay down at DST and get aggressive with this non Derrick Henry lineup. The Texans have competed well in back to back weeks versus 2 of the leagues top offenses and the Titans just lost another OL starter and will have inexperienced player caller.
That pay down afforded me the money to go up to DJ Moore. Amon Ra St. Brown/Jamaal Williams – DJ Moore is one of my favorite skinny stacks on the week. I expect the Lions to force the Panthers into more drop backs and the matchup is a good one.
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