QB: Patrick Mahomes vs. Cincinnati DraftKings salary: 7,600
RB: Christian McCaffrey at Philadelphia DraftKings salary: 8,000
RB: Jerick McKinnon vs. Cincinnati DraftKings salary: 5,400
WR: Quez Watkins vs. San Francisco DraftKings salary: 3,100
WR: Ja’Marr Chase at Kansas City DraftKings salary: 7,600
WR: Tyler Boyd at Kansas City DraftKings salary: 3,800
TE: Travis Kelce vs. Cincinnati DraftKings salary: 7,800
Flex: Marquez Valdez-Scantling DraftKings salary: 3,600
DST: Eagles Def vs. San Francisco DraftKings salary: 2,800
Reasoning: Full this disclosure here, this started out as a Jalen Hurts lineup. Had it all punched in, I liked it, but a phrase just kept popping up in my mind…
Scared money don’t make none…and while I believe Hurts and Burrow are the guys you should be playing mostly this week I couldn’t in good conscience try to get you to the biggest of bags and not at least try to put together the rare underdog Mahomes lineup.
So what’s the approach? Obviously Travis Kelce is a must play but how else do we get there? Jerick McKinnon is the other kinda obvious stacking partner even though he’s a running back. He had his first zero target game of the season last week, something I highly doubt we see a repeat of. At his price even if it’s just catches and TD potential, I think it’s a strong play.
I’m not done yet though, I need another differentiator but figuring out these Kansas City WR’s is like playing ABACADABA on one of them old scantron tests (yes, I’m old).
It seems like the stance the field will somewhat take is playing Ka’Darius Toney and while he’s at a good price and has insane talent, I think people are playing him more so anticipating a hobbled Mahomes that will be getting the ball out quick. Hobbled Mahomes doesn’t get us to the money. So right off top I’m going to shift by playing MVS for much of the same reasons I played him last week. Routes run and air yards. He only had 33 air yards last week but that was with Mahomes missing time and then coming back hobbled. He had over 100 in each of the 2 games prior to that.
Now let’s not get it twisted, it’s a thin and risky play but it comes with being in the Mahomes business. For him to hit his ceiling we’re gonna see some random TDs, hopefully MVS is on the receiving end of one, preferably from 50+ yards out.
Went with one obvious and one not quite as obvious run back. Ja’Marr Chase is so thoroughly locked into volume on a weekly basis. Even if we are just talking schemed touches and hitches because the defense is terrified of him going over the top…he’s going to find his way to an ideal floor and we know what his ceiling looks like if he gets loose. Tyler Boyd is a great play at his price that I’m surprised isn’t getting more buzz. He’s got a good matchup, will run routes on 80+ percent of passing plays and benefits from the 2 high looks that Chase and Higgins necessitate.
Ended up with a small CMC-Quez stack to round things out on the position player side. There’s nothing i can tel you on CMC you don’t already know. At 8K he feels like an auto play. While Jordan Davis and all the beef that resides on the Philly front line will make things difficult for him we are still talking about an Uber talented runner in a Shanahan run game who also splits out and is targeted like a receiver. Quez Watkins is another dart that carries upside. In the 4 games that Jalen Hurts has thrown over 300 yards this season, Watkins averages 9.9 DraftKings points per game. Because of the stout nature of the 49ers run defense I expect Hurts to throw early and often and Quez’s field stretching profile matches the “weakness” of the San Francisco defense. At 3100 he’s the premier punt on the slate.
On defense I started to go with 49ers. Usually If I’m fading a popular QB like I am with Hurts here, I try to get aggressive in my lineups in telling the story that the player won’t do well. That’s a lot tougher to do on a 2 game slate. I’m already zigging with this Mahomes triple stack, too much Hurts disrespect may be putting too much dip on my chip. The Eagles defense get a rookie QB whose played extremely well but also showed a capped ceiling last week versus a defense not as talented as this one.
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