By Carey Stevenson
QB: Bryce Young at Tampa Bay DraftKings salary: 4,900
RB: David Montgomery at New Orleans DraftKings salary: 6,500
RB: Zack Moss at Titans DraftKings salary: 4,600
WR: Tyreek Hill at Washington DraftKings salary: 9,600
WR: Adam Thielen at Tampa Bay DraftKings salary: 6,600
WR: Deebo Samuel at Philadelphia DraftKings salary: 6,200
TE: Stephen Sullivan at Tampa Bay DraftKings salary: 2,500
FLEX: Rachaad White vs. Carolina DraftKings salary: 6,800
DST: Patriots DST vs. Los Angeles (Chargers) DraftKings salary: 2,400
Reasoning: Looking at my QB play you may be thinking the long season is starting to get to me, and you’re partially right but on a slate where the pay up’s aren’t slam dunks and some of the good plays have ceiling questions…i like the idea of experimenting with the variance of this situation. With Frank Reich gone and the combination of Thomas Brown and Jim Caldwell leading the way, i think we see modern finishes and a stabilization of this offense. It’s no guarantee but it’s certainly possible we see a lot more motion, a higher pass rate matching the weakness of the opponent, a boost in pace and more rubs to get Jonathan Mingo yards after the catch opportunities. They land in a great matchup versus a banged up Bucs pass defense giving up the 8th most yards per completion. Adam Thielen is the obvious 1st stacking partner is a tremendous slot matchup and his price has dropped to a that doesn’t make you full wince. With injuries to Hayden Hurst and Tommy Tremble both likely to miss this game, Stephen Sullivan should run at least 60+% of the routes against a Tampa Bay team that has allowed the 3rd most targets to the position and will be without inside linebacker Lavonte David.
I thought briefly about running it back with Mike Evans and Rachaad White but i look at the 37 game total again and thought better of it. Rachaad won out based upon the beautiful matchup on the ground.
The Zack Moss play doesn’t require much elaboration…I’ll be playing a couple non Moss lineups just to have that potential field edge at my disposal but he’s such a great play that i won’t be getting too cute.
Montgomery fills my priority for Lions exposure…they are tied for the highest team total on the slate and all their pieces are falling under the radar this week. With a negative script to the degree it was for them on Thanksgiving unlikely, Montgomery is set up for a shot at 20 carries and multiple goal line opportunities.
Another pretty self explanatory play, Tyreek Hill is on a scorching pace and gets a Commanders defense that just fired their DC. While the Dolphins as a whole haven’t lived up to the greatest show on surf standard they started the season off with…Tyreek is too good and utilized to ideally to see him fail in this spot.
Deebo is an interesting entrance point to this Eagles-49ers NFC supremacy game. Yes he fits in stacks with the likely popular Brock Purdy, he can act as leverage on Purdy and CMC because of his involvement in the run game and with both teams having strong offenses and strong traditional run defenses, his passing game volume could peak a bit as well. In a perfect world he gobbles up 8 to 10 targets and punches in a couple red zone rushing scores.
It’s slim pickings on cheap defenses this week but i like betting on the Chargers traveling across country to put Brandon Staley out of his misery. This offense was in desperate need of juice coming into the season and with a banged up skill group, including Keenan Allen…it’s somehow gotten worse. Austin Ekeler looks a step slower and Quentin Johnston just isn’t ready to impact NFL games. This game feels destined to be played in the teens.
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