By Carey Stevenson
QB: Tommy DeVito at New Orleans DraftKings salary: 5,000
RB: Bijan Robinson at Carolina DraftKings salary: 6,800
RB: Kyren Williams vs. Washington DraftKings salary: 7,500
WR: Mike Evans at Green Bay DraftKings salary: 7,500
WR: Jayden Reed vs. Tampa Bay DraftKings salary: 4,900
WR: Deebo Samuel at Arizona DraftKings salary: 7,700
TE: Darren Waller at New Orleans DraftKings salary: 4,400
FLEX: Michael Wilson vs. San Francisco DraftKings salary: 3,300
DST: Jets D/ST at Miami DraftKings salary: 2,500
Reasoning: It’s hard to get really excited about many QB plays on this slate, and the few that you can? so is everybody else. I’ll be rocking with the field on Matthew Stafford and Brock Purdy but you didn’t come here to hear about the same ole guys everybody else is propping up, now did you?
In a week where none of us really want to commit to a 1 pm game, Giants-Saints intrigues me. A dome game where both offenses play at an elevated pace, Tommy DeVito has room to keep his feel good story going. This heavy man Saints defense has given up the 3rd most rushing yards to QBs, no doubt a welcome sight for Brian Daboll. Per Fantasylife.com, the “sneaky” (hehe) athletic DeVito has 18% and 14% of the Giants designed rush attempts over their last 2 games. On the passing side of things, the Saints are down 2 starters in the secondary and have middling at best pressure numbers. At just 5K and a rushing floor in the tuck, i like Devito’s chance of returning real value, with room for more if the environment permits. His stacking partner carries risk as well but the reward outweighs it. His health and playing time are a concerns but if they weren’t he’d be the best TE play on this slate. The last time we saw a full game from Darren Waller it was with Devito in a game where put up a 7-98-1 line on a 30% target share. He also represents a nice pivot on a popular 3,700 Wan’dale Robinson. A player who had a 9% target share in Waller’s last full game.
I like taking care of the onesies positions in a correlated way on the cheap, especially when i don’t feel like I’m full on punting. I’ll play with different run back variations once Chris Olave’s status is clear but for now it’s tough to pinpoint.
With my contrarian primary stack to start, i can afford to move without restrictions with my RB selections. Kyren Williams’ usage makes any non CMC back envious, and like CMC..makes him pretty matchup proof. Bijan Robinson on the other hand has maybe THE running back matchup as nobody has surrendered more TDs to the position…and with 3 carries inside the 5 yard line last week per Hayden Winks, Bijan looks to be in great position to take advantage.
The skinny stack of Mike Evans and Jayden Reed will be popular but for good reason. With Christian Watson doubtful to play (sigh), Reed will have no issue running enough routes to flirt with double digit targets. He also gets a slot matchup versus Tampa Bay that has been lucrative this season. Mike Evans had a quiet week last week because of the bracket coverage he received, making him an auto play for me if people are scared off a bit. The field has gotten a lot better at avoiding those kind of mistakes but he’ll certainly be less popular than he would if he put up 150 yards and 2 TDs. Anytime you can get a player in your lineup with his ceiling at discounted rostership. You take it.
My other skinny stack starts with a coin flip play. Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk will factor heavily in what I’m doing this week and i’ll likely have variations of this lineup with both guys but because I don’t have CMC or Purdy in this lineup…Deebo feels like the player that could theoretically take away from CMC on the ground and take away from Purdy in the air with his rushing upside. Michael Wilson is a cheap, correlated run back who put up a 7-76-2 line in the 1st matchup between these 2 teams. The 49ers may be without starting corner Charvarius Ward, a potential added boost in a game that where drop backs will probably trend up for Arizona facing this high powered 49ers offense.
Closing this one out with the Jets defense facing a super banged Dolphins offense. Nearly every starter along their offensive line is either out or has a chance to miss the game while the engine of their offense, Tyreek Hill is a true game time decision. Rookie phenom Devon Achane is also questionable. It’s a no brainer play if those main guys miss but even if they don’t, the Jets have an outstanding pass defense and held Tua Tagovailoa to 243 yards passing, 1 TD and 2 interceptions in their week 12 matchup. They will no doubt carry some popularity at their price but it may be muted a bit if Tyreek and Achane are in. Either way we’ve gotten different enough to afford it with our start.
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